Watchlist
Who is in, and who it expects next
Every buyer of this token, grouped by what the indexer knows about them. Dashed rings are wallets the simulation expects to arrive.
How the chance moved
The forecast re-runs on every trade. The gold line is where it stood; the dashed line is the 65% buy line.
Trader
A paper bankroll that only acts when the council clears every rule. Fills are modeled from real swaps: they land a few blocks late, pay the curve fee, and move the price themselves.
Bankroll since Sep 19
Solid line is the Trader. Dashed line is the same signals traded on naive momentum.
Every order, with its fill
Quote is the price when the Trader decided. Fill is where the order actually landed after the blocks in between.
Accuracy
Every forecast is graded five minutes after it is made, including the tokens the council passed on. This page is where you decide whether to trust it.
Does 70% mean 70%?
Each dot is a group of forecasts. On the diagonal, the chance it gave matched what happened.
Is it getting better?
Skill against the naive momentum guess, for each rule version you approved.
Live race
Same signals, three rulebooks, paper money.
Graded forecasts
Newest first. Passed tokens are graded too, so a timid council cannot hide its misses.
Crews
Wallets that keep buying the same launches within seconds of each other. Some carry information; one buys almost everything and carries none. The council scores each crew by how its past launches ended.